Overview

Row

GDP growth (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

-4.1%

Inflation 12-months (Mar ’21 - IBGE)

6.1%

Unemployment rate (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

13.9%

Primary Deficit (Feb ’21 - STN)

-10.42%

SELIC target rate (Apr ’21 - COPOM/BCB)

2.75%

Row

GDP growth

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Inflation trend

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Unemployment rate

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Unemployment by states

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Primary deficit trend

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Real interest rates

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Exchange rate

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Exchange rate performance
Currency CUR/BRL1 Trend MoM2 YTD3 YoY4
US Dollar R$ 5.65 US Dollar R$ 5.65 −0.02% 5.39% 28.33%
Euro R$ 6.72 Euro R$ 6.72 −0.02% 3.07% 36.25%
Argentine Peso R$ 0.06 Argentine Peso R$ 0.06 −1.51% −2.01% −10.33%
Mexican Peso R$ 0.28 Mexican Peso R$ 0.28 3.19% 4.39% 20.61%
Chinese Renminbi R$ 0.86 Chinese Renminbi R$ 0.86 −0.50% 4.19% 33.61%
Turkish Lira R$ 0.70 Turkish Lira R$ 0.70 −5.56% −4.04% 3.13%
Russian Ruble R$ 0.07 Russian Ruble R$ 0.07 −2.68% 2.38% 13.86%
Indian Rupee R$ 0.08 Indian Rupee R$ 0.08 −2.14% 3.55% 24.07%
Saudi Riyal R$ 1.51 Saudi Riyal R$ 1.51 −0.01% 5.43% 28.35%
South African Rand R$ 0.39 South African Rand R$ 0.39 3.40% 10.09% 22.19%
Source: BCB

1 Average monthly exchange rate, updated to April 16, 2021.

2 MoM: monthly percentage change

3 YTD: percentage change in the year

4 YoY: accumulated in 12 months percentage change against the same period of the previous year

Ibovespa index

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Economic activity

Column

GDP growth in 4 quarters (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

-4.1%

GDP at current prices in 4 quarters (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

R$ 7.45b

Cielo retail index (March, 2021 - ICVA)

-11.6%

Vehicle production (March, 2021 - ANFAVEA)

200.3k

Installed Capacity Utilization Level (March, 2021 - FGV)

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GDP trend

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IBC-Br trend

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GDP approaches

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Quarter over Quarter1 Year over Year2 Year to Date3 Accumulated in 4 Quarters4
GDP 3.2% −1.1% −4.1% −4.1%
Agriculture −0.5% −0.4% 2.0% 2.0%
Industry 1.9% 1.2% −3.5% −3.5%
Services 2.7% −2.2% −4.5% −4.5%
Consumption 3.4% −3.0% −5.5% −5.5%
Government 1.1% −4.1% −4.7% −4.7%
Investment 20.0% 13.5% −0.8% −0.8%
Exports −1.4% −4.3% −1.8% −1.8%
Imports 22.0% −3.1% −10.0% −10.0%
Note: updated until 2020 Q4.
Source: IBGE

1 Growth rate for the quarter versus the immediately preceding quarter

2 Quarterly growth rate (compared to the same period of the previous year)

3 Accumulated growth rate over the year (compared to the same period of the previous year)

4 Growth rate accumulated in 4 quarters (compared to the same period of the previous year)

Retail (PMC)

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Services (PMS)

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Industry (PIM-PF)

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Inflation

Column

Inflation over 12 months (March, 2021 - IPCA/IBGE)

6.1%

Inflation target for (2021 - CMN/BCB)

3.75%

Diffusion index (IPCA)

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Inflation trend

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Inflation by metropolitan region

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CPI components

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MoM1 YTD2
CPI (IPCA) 0.9% 2.0%
Food and drink 0.1% 1.4%
Housing 0.8% 0.1%
Residence articles 0.7% 2.2%
Clothing 0.3% 0.6%
Transportation 3.8% 6.6%
Health care −0.0% 0.9%
Personal expenses 0.0% 0.6%
Education −0.5% 2.1%
Communication −0.1% −0.2%
Note: data for March 2021.
Source: IPCA/IBGE

1 Month over Month: monthly percentage change

2 Year to Date: percentage change accumulated in the year

CPI cores

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IGP trend

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Labor market

Column

# Employed (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

86.2 million

# Unemployed (2020 Q4 - IBGE)

13.9 million

Employment by category

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Unemployment rate

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Unemployment rate by gender and color

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Unemployment by states

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Occupation

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Participation

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Income

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Gini

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Fiscal policy

Column

Central Government Primary Deficit

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Central Government Net Revenue and Total Expenditure

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Detailed accounts of Central Government Income and Expenditure

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Single Account balance

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Debt Stock

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Government Securities Portfolio

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Rating

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Debt Risk Rating History
Last update Agency Foreign currency Local currency
2020-12-10 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2020-11-18 Fitch BB- BB-
2020-11-09 JCR BBB- BBB
2020-09-04 DBRS BB (low) BB (low)
2020-07-29 R&I BBB- -
2020-05-15 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2020-05-05 Fitch BB- BB-
2020-04-06 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2019-12-11 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2019-11-19 JCR BBB- BBB
2019-11-18 R&I BBB- -
2019-11-14 Fitch BB- BB-
2019-09-11 DBRS BB (low) BB (low)
2019-05-21 Fitch BB- BB-
2019-02-20 R&I BBB- -
2019-02-07 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2018-09-12 DBRS BB (low) BB (low)
2018-08-09 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2018-08-01 Fitch BB- BB-
2018-04-09 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2018-03-16 DBRS BB (low) BB (low)
2018-02-23 Fitch BB- BB-
2018-01-30 JCR BBB- BBB
2018-01-11 Standard & Poor's BB- BB-
2017-11-28 DBRS BB BB
2017-11-10 Fitch BB BB
2017-05-26 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2017-05-22 Standard & Poor's BB BB
2017-05-18 Fitch BB BB
2017-03-15 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2017-02-09 Standard & Poor's BB BB
2016-11-10 Fitch BB BB
2016-08-01 DBRS BB BB (high)
2016-06-01 JCR BBB- BBB
2016-05-05 Fitch BB BB
2016-05-01 R&I BBB- -
2016-02-24 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2016-02-17 Standard & Poor's BB BB
2015-12-16 Fitch BB+ BB+
2015-10-15 Fitch BBB- BBB-
2015-09-09 Standard & Poor's BB+ BBB-
2015-08-11 Moody's Baa3 Baa2
2015-07-28 Standard & Poor's BBB- BBB+
2015-04-09 Fitch BBB BBB
2014-09-09 Moody's Baa2 -
2014-03-24 Standard & Poor's BBB- BBB+
2013-06-06 Standard & Poor's BBB A-
2012-12-18 Standard & Poor's BBB A-
2012-11-21 Moody's Baa2 Baa2
2011-11-17 Standard & Poor's BBB A-
2011-08-25 Standard & Poor's - BBB+
2011-04-04 Fitch BBB BBB
2010-06-30 Fitch BBB- BBB-
2009-09-22 Moody's Baa3 Baa3
2009-07-06 Moody's Ba1 Ba1
2008-05-28 Fitch BBB- BBB-
2008-04-30 Standard & Poor's BBB- BBB+
2007-08-01 Moody's Ba1 Ba1
2007-05-24 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2007-05-16 Standard & Poor's BB+ BBB
2007-05-10 Fitch BB+ BB+
2007-02-04 Fitch BB BB
2006-11-22 Standard & Poor's BB BB+
2006-08-31 Moody's Ba2 Ba2
2006-08-01 Moody's Ba3 Ba3
2006-06-28 Fitch BB BB
2006-02-28 Standard & Poor's BB BB+
2005-11-08 Standard & Poor's BB- BB
2005-10-11 Moody's Ba3 -
2005-01-12 Moody's B1 Ba3
2004-09-28 Fitch BB- BB-
2004-09-09 Moody's B1 Ba3
2003-11-06 Fitch B+ B+
2003-06-03 Fitch B B
2003-04-29 Standard & Poor's B+ BB
2002-10-21 Fitch B B
2002-08-21 Moody's B2 B2
2002-08-01 Fitch B B
2002-07-02 Standard & Poor's B+ BB
2002-06-20 Fitch B+ -
2002-06-20 Moody's B1 B1
2002-06-04 Fitch - B+
2002-06-04 Moody's B1 B1
2002-02-27 Moody's B1 B1
2001-08-09 Standard & Poor's BB- BB+
2001-07-17 Fitch BB- B+
2001-01-03 Standard & Poor's BB- BB+
2000-10-16 Moody's B1 B1
2000-09-21 Fitch BB- B+
2000-05-19 Fitch BB- -
2000-02-29 Standard & Poor's - BB
2000-02-22 Fitch B+ B+
1999-11-10 Standard & Poor's B+ BB-
1999-01-26 Fitch B B
1999-01-14 Standard & Poor's B+ BB-
1998-09-10 Standard & Poor's BB- BB+
1998-09-03 Moody's B2 Caa1
1997-12-03 Fitch B+ -
1997-04-02 Standard & Poor's BB- BB+
1997-03-07 Moody's B1 -
1996-06-19 Standard & Poor's - BB
1995-10-26 Fitch B+ -
1994-12-01 Fitch B+ -
1994-11-30 Moody's B1 -
1994-10-05 Moody's B2 -
1989-03-31 Moody's B2 -
1986-11-18 Moody's Ba1 -
Source: STN

Monetary policy

Column

SELIC Target rate in April, 2021 (COPOM/BCB)

2.75%

Inflation target for 2021 (CMN)

3.75%

Inflation expectations

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Short-term interest rates

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Real interest rates

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Exchange rate

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Exchange rate performance
Currency CUR/BRL1 Trend MoM2 YTD3 YoY4
US Dollar R$ 5.65 US Dollar R$ 5.65 −0.02% 5.39% 28.33%
Euro R$ 6.72 Euro R$ 6.72 −0.02% 3.07% 36.25%
Argentine Peso R$ 0.06 Argentine Peso R$ 0.06 −1.51% −2.01% −10.33%
Mexican Peso R$ 0.28 Mexican Peso R$ 0.28 3.19% 4.39% 20.61%
Chinese Renminbi R$ 0.86 Chinese Renminbi R$ 0.86 −0.50% 4.19% 33.61%
Turkish Lira R$ 0.70 Turkish Lira R$ 0.70 −5.56% −4.04% 3.13%
Russian Ruble R$ 0.07 Russian Ruble R$ 0.07 −2.68% 2.38% 13.86%
Indian Rupee R$ 0.08 Indian Rupee R$ 0.08 −2.14% 3.55% 24.07%
Saudi Riyal R$ 1.51 Saudi Riyal R$ 1.51 −0.01% 5.43% 28.35%
South African Rand R$ 0.39 South African Rand R$ 0.39 3.40% 10.09% 22.19%
Source: BCB

1 Average monthly exchange rate, updated to April 16, 2021.

2 MoM: monthly percentage change

3 YTD: percentage change in the year

4 YoY: accumulated in 12 months percentage change against the same period of the previous year

Interest rate expectations

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Yield curve

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Ibovespa

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EMBI+

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About

About

This dashboard aims to facilitate the monitoring of macroeconomic data on the Brazilian economy, including the main indicators of:

  • Economic activity
  • Inflation
  • Labor market
  • Fiscal policy
  • Monetary policy

The indicators are updated daily and come from public data sources. I hope this tool can be useful for you!

If you find any errors or have any suggestions, feel free to contact me:


Last update: April 18, 2021.
GitHub repo: https://github.com/schoulten/macroview


Author: Fernando da Silva
I am an economist passionate about macroeconomics with 3 years of experience in analyzing the economic scenario. I do data analysis with time series and microdata using the power of R for automation. My work helps people to understand the economic scenario and make decisions.

Website: https://fortietwo.com/
GitHub: https://www.github.com/schoulten
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/schoulten/